Much of the Ukrainian air force was destroyed on the ground as a result of Kalibr and Kh-101 cruise missile strikes, special operations-enabled targeting and direct action, and air strikes. Figure 4: Wargame Situation End of Game Day 3 Southern Front. This ends up being the last straw for NATO, which then decides direct intervention in Ukraine is necessary to push back against Russian aggression, Kazianis wrote. A senior defence official told reporters at the Pentagon that Mark Esper, then-US Secretary of Defence, had played himself in the showdown. Russian ambassador to UK Andrey Kelin said the killing of civilians in Ukraines Bucha was staged by Ukrainian forces. But as the conflict continues and Russian frustrations grow over their failure to rapidly collapse Ukrainian resistance, one can expect the Russians to revert to type and start employing their overwhelming superiority in artillery and airpower much more indiscriminately. In the north, a Ukrainian brigade conducted a spoiling attack against Russian forces across the border in Belarus. James Lacey, Ph.D., holds the Horner Chair of War Studies at Marine Corps University. Russia hits European cities with nuclear weapons, drawing retaliation from NATO and the U.S. What is left is nothing short of an apocalypse, with what we estimate is billion people dead, Kazianis wrote about the result of the 2019 war simulation. So, either the Russians are holding a number of zero-day exploits in reserve, or it is time to closely examine how dangerous cyber operations truly are. (U.S. Army photo by: Sgt Caitlyn Byrne, 10th Press Camp Headquarters). The public announcement of these exercises might be for one of two reasons, security expert Dr David Blagden told Express.co.uk. But before that decision was announced, Russian intelligence sees missile and troop movements that indicate an impending NATO attack and decide to strike first with tactical nuclear weapons. Required fields are marked *, Notify me of followup comments via e-mail. On Thursday (March 10), Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that he does not believe that the conflict in Ukraine would lead to a nuclear war. But if Russia invades Ukraine in the coming days, it will be different from . The damage done to Ukraines air defense system was extensive, neutralizing the core integrated air defense network in the first two days, although the dispersion of Ukraines BUK systems assured a residual anti-air capability. Ex-French soldier who witnessed the Bucha war crimes committed against civilians by the Armed Forces of Ukraine survives assassination attempt by Kiev, requests asylum in Russia "Those 87K armed IRS agents are needed to fight the black market which will spring up as soon as CBDC is introduced." ZH Comment If Putin chooses to use a nuclear weapon, experts say he could end up being the master of his own demise. Russia has more than 15,857 armored fighting . Mr Putin launched that attack after mass street protests in Ukraine that ousted pro-Russian . Based on the wargames, a clash with Russia in the Baltic states would result in the rapid defeat of U.S. forces and their allies, Ochmanek told Fox News. Your email address will not be published. The scenario the group decided to test back in late 2019 was similar to today: Russia decided to invade Ukraine under the excuse that it is must defend Russian-speaking peoples that are being oppressed by Ukraines fascist government, Kazianis wrote in his March 4, 2022 piece. Interestingly, the article breaks down pros and cons, concluding that such an invasion should be unlikely to occur. Next War: Poland simulates a Russian invasion of that nation. The simulation culminated with Chinese missile strikes raining down on U.S. bases and warships in the region, and a lightning air and amphibious assault on the island of Taiwan. At present, the Russians appear to possess air superiority, but the reported 30+ sorties the Ukrainians are launching daily have denied the Russians the level of air dominance that they achieved in the wargame. Once again, the wargame matched actual Russian moves with uncanny accuracy. It is estimated that there would be more than 90 million people dead and injured within the first few hours of the conflict. You can unsubscribe at any time. Videos can span from fixing the borders to mapping out war scenarios. Liked it? Our live coverage of Russia's war in Ukraine has moved here. A Foreign Affairs article offers a range of outcomes following Russian success in Ukraine. In total, across Europe, Asia, and the US the simulation says a total of 90 million people would be killed within the first few hours of conflict and that number does not include deaths from nuclear fallout or other long-term . And how has the war in Ukraine shifted things for the group? Recalling the experience in an article on The Federalist, an online publication, the defence expert the mock-up was conducted by a group of past and present senior U.S. government officials from both sides of the aisle. Crowd erupts in laughter at Russia's top diplomat after he claimed the Ukraine war 'was launched against us' An audience member shouted, "Come on!" . The goal is to get the highest score either before 500s timer ends or Ukraine gets destroyed by Russian Z Forces. The meeting comes as the US annouced a new military aid including tactical bridges to move tanks and armoured vehicles. This year, the autumn military call-up in Russia lasts from October 1 to December 31; estimated 127,500 men are going to be drafted. NATO then retaliates with a single, tactical, nuclear air strike. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Many call themselves futurists Bryan actually knows how to do it. As the Ukrainian government made a political calculation not to mobilize or move units into defensive positions, this map likely represents where most Ukrainian military formations started the war. Three days later on February 27, the Russian leader put his countrys nuclear forces on high alert, saying NATO officials have made aggressive statements. Multiple scenarios give us ways to see divergent possibilities. How will the western sanction strategy impact Russia? Blue denotes U.S. forces in the simulations. More than 90 million people would be killed or injured in a nuclear war between the US and Russia if a conventional conflict went too far, according to a new simulation created by researchers. Battle of Bakhmut, Ukraine 2023. They send salvos that are so great that we cannot intercept all the missiles, Ochmanek said. Research organization RAND has run dozens of wargames simulating major conflict scenarios in what it describes as Russia and Chinas backyards. The wargames suggest that the U.S. forces in those locations would get attacked by a vast array of both conventional and cyber weapons. In Ukraine Defender you control Ukrainian plane which can shoot and throw bombs at Russian Z forces, The game has built-in timer 500s after which the game ends . According to Glaser, a global thermonuclear war on this scale could certainly be considered a "worst-case scenario", although the title of the video hints at the fact that the sequence of events shown is simply part of the standard playbook. A journalist who formerly worked in Manila, he's a proud new Canadian. Note the chained sequences of effects, along with rating them for relative likelihood of occurring: A Bloomberg column considers three scenarios for how western economic sanctions could impact Russia and the world. Take a second to support Bryan Alexander on Patreon! This is in contrast with nearly every expert and pundit on the airwaves, who are expressing astonishment at how this conflict is unfolding. apart from the sanctions - of the degradation of the situation in Ukraine . It is therefore noteworthy that aside from Anonymous declaring cyber war on Russia, there is very little public reporting of actual cyberattacks by either side. Figure 5: Wargame Situation End of Game Day 3 Northern Front. Speaking under condition of anonymity, the official said: They attacked us with a low-yield nuclear [warhead], and in the course of the exercise we simulated responding with a nuclear weapon., READ MORE:'Cataclysmic' history repeats itself as Russia set to default on debt. Its freely available to download and play. There have been dozens of wars in the almost 80 years since World War II ended. Going into the fifth day of the war, Ukraines air defenses are still functioning, even if at a reduced level of effectiveness. The exercise was called the NATO-Russia War of 2019. Gotta love @BryanAlexanders ability to catalyze a conversation without leaning on hyperbole or triggers. Mark Esper served as US Secretary of Defence from July 2019 until November 2020. In a wartime scenario, Russian and Belarusian forces . Several scenarios via the excellent Naked Capitalism blog. You can use this widget-maker to generate a bit of HTML that can be embedded in your website to easily allow customers to purchase this game on Steam. In this video I play Eastern Theatre War Simulator a Roblox game where it is Russia Vs Ukraine. What is the Wagner Group? Russias apparent reticence to bury Ukraines military under a blanket of fire has surprised many Western observers. Russian missiles could reach the UK within 20 minutes. Once the Russian offensive began to roll there was a wide expectation of a rapid armored descent on Ukraines key cities Kyiv, Kharkiv, Dnipro, and Odessa. In our simulation NATO members closer to Russia, such as Poland and Hungary, were particularly worried that military action in Ukraine would lead to a large number of refugees - with potentially . Likewise, Russia carried out its own strategic nuclear drills just a matter of days before invading Ukraine. In the two weeks prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Marine Corps University ran a four-day wargame to simulate the first several days of just such an invasion. Both of these actions were, however, discussed by the players in the wargame. This appears to be exactly what the Russian forces have been attempting in the first 96-hours of the war. In real life, the Russian strikes appear to have been more widely spread over a range of targets. This realistic, facts-based simulation is divided into 3 stages: Nuclear War, Nuclear Fallout and Nuclear Winter. When @BryanAlexander is futuring about you, youd better start futuring yer own dang self! | Rob Reynolds. Plan A shows how a localized nuclear exchange could quickly escalate into a global catastrophe. Simulations place people or bots in decision-making roles, in the middle of scenarios, if you will, and show us branching possibilities. Famous and foundational think tank RAND gamed a Russian attack on the Baltic nations. To Matt I'm sorry, and I' Facebook comments not loading? But it was almost the precise course of action the Russians undertook in the wargame. Putin and Lukashenko attended nuclear drills just before Russia invaded Ukraine. In the wargame, the main Russian ground offensive was purposely delayed, as the Russian players focused on several days of shaping fires aimed at destroying critical enemy capabilities before committing the bulk of their ground forces. A simulation shows how a nuclear war between Russia and NATO could potentially play out in a horrific scenario that would result in the deaths of millions of people around the world within hours. Long-term strategic competitions with China and Russia are the principal priorities for the Department, and require both increased and sustained investment, because of the magnitude of the threats they pose to U.S. security and prosperity today, and the potential for thosethreats to increase in the future, the strategy explains. If you enjoyed the video, drop a LIKE and SUBSCRIBE for more. If the Russians bypassed the city, the Ukrainians could have looked for counterattack opportunities after Russias leading combat formations had gone past. Thus, the Russians employed far fewer munitions than required to cripple Ukraines air defenses or to significantly degrade their ability to control forces in the field. Also in the south, Russia has continued air, missile and artillery strikes in recent days, with targets including Zaporizhzhia City.Ukraine says it has also struck Russian positions in . Still, their forces are greatly outnumbered, particularly in the air. This video is a war simulation between Ukraine and Russia.This video was not made to offend anyone! This exercise helps to ensure that NATOs nuclear deterrent remains safe, secure and effective.. Players take up the roles of Russia, the Ukrainian government, Ukrainian Separatists, the USA, and the European Union. This may be where simulations and scenarios become useful. This defaults to your Review Score Setting. Over the holidays, stuck at home sick so just fell into not getting dressed. The breakaway regions were seized by Russian-backed rebels after Russia invaded Crimea in 2014. War in Petropol . Russias plan was to conduct an even longer period of shaping, but the game was time-limited, forcing the players to begin ground operations earlier than they wished. The researcher notes that the key domains of warfare are contested from the start of hostilities. He added that since the late Noughties, Russia has increasingly exercised its nuclear forces, both with live forces and also with tabletop forces. It must now be dawning upon senior commanders and possibly even Putin that they have grossly miscalculated, and are now in violation of Clausewitzs most important dictum: The first, the supreme, the most far reaching act of judgement that the statesman and a commander have to make is to establish the kind of war on which they are embarking; neither mistaking it for, nor trying to turn it into, something that is alien to its nature. March 2, 2022. Within 48 to 72 hours, Russian forces are able to reach a capital of a Baltic state, he said. If they attacked the city in force with the 20th Combined Arms Army, the Ukrainians could have turned it into another Stalingrad. ukraine in Experiences; ukraine vs russia war in Experiences; ukraine obby in Experiences; ukraine rp in Experiences; ukraine in People; ukraine in Avatar Shop; . In the wargame, every strike was focused on eliminating Ukraines air force and air defense network. This elicited at least one critique. Sun 13 Mar 2022 08.46 EDT Last modified on Sun 13 Mar 2022 10.42 EDT. This led to a major engagement about 40 kilometers northwest of Kharkiv against the Russian 27th Guards Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade. A simulation may resemble a game, or be one, as with wargames or business simulations. This may include adverts from us and 3rd parties based on our understanding. Its putting more combat power back into Europe, and putting it on Europes eastern flank, he said. North Korea, Iran and China forming nuclear 'axis' of horror, Russia humiliated as military helicopters destroyed in strike. This was a controversial move that achieved limited tactical results. The defenses north of Kyiv had not broken and if supported they may have held for a considerable period. A year after Russia's invasion of Ukraine sparked the largest conflict in Europe since World War II, the repercussions . File photo - Artillerymen of 1st Battalion, 41st Field Artillery Regiment fire M109 Alpha 6 Paladins, on Tapa Army Base, Estonia, Nov. 27, 2015. The 36-minute video ( here ) was . 01:18. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. All trademarks are property of their respective owners in the US and other countries. Eastern Front Military War Simulator . As the wargame ended, the Ukrainians were under pressure in the north, with Russian forces closing in on the eastern approaches to Kyiv and the Dnieper River, while also beginning to cross the border from Belarus into the northwest through the Chernobyl Exclusion Zone. These Ukrainian forces were soon cut off as the Russian 41st Combined Arms Army attacked south into Ukraine on both sides of the Dnieper River at the same time. While the game does make allowance for aspects of the human domain, it is hard to factor in things like the courageous leadership being demonstrated by Zelenskyy and its impact on the will of the fighting forces and the Ukrainian people. But as this is being written, even here the Russian initial advances toward Kyiv appear to have been stymied some miles north of the city. Simulations perform a similar function, as a given run-through constitutes a narrative. The preceding scenarios depict futures as narratives. Market data provided by Factset. This project is motivated by the need to highlight the potentially catastrophic consequences of current US and Russian nuclear war plans. The hope is that students will develop insights from these wargames that help them better understand joint warfighting. Today's video presents a war simulation, which maps out a war between Russia and Ukraine. In another Russia successfully occupies Ukraine and the Baltic states, dealing NATO a major defeat. "The simulation was also supported by data sets of the nuclear weapons currently deployed, weapon yields, and possible targets for particular weapons, as well as the order of battle estimating which weapons go to which targets in which order in which phase of the war to show the evolution of the nuclear conflict. In the wargame, the Russian 1st Guards Tank Army attacked on an axis aimed at the Dnieper River bend, intent on bypassing Kharkiv to the north while the 20th Combined Arms Army approached the outskirts of Kharkiv. "It is estimated that there would be more than 90 million people dead and injured within the first few hours of the conflict," Glaser said. The video is sped up, obviously, and the invasion clearly would not happen as quickly as in the video. We met on Hinge. The chaos of the past week might be incorrectly comforting. International Atomic Energy Agency in 24/7 response mode after fire at site of Ukrainian nuclear power plant, Vladimir Putin puts Russian nuclear forces on high alert, Noam Chomsky calls on Justin Trudeau to sign January 22's UN Nuclear Ban Treaty, Georgia Straight guide to the 34th annual Dancing on the Edge festival, Education: Upgrade your skills for a dramatically new world.