Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. Are they gross exaggerations? I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Step 1. Thats a ridiculously huge number. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. Onward to freedom! However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Thats 150,000 generations. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . Step 2. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. So what's the probability of your being born? Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. Now things start getting interesting. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? 7 distinct works Similar authors. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. June 5. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. Same to all of us. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. Me neither. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! But on all probability it would. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. That's 150,000 generations. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Step 3. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Are You a Miracle? A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Do you know the odds of being alive? Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Step 1. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. How fast does a laden fly fly? He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not.
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